Prediction of Machines Reliability at Design Analysis Stage

A problem to estimate the probability of failure to meet requirements for carrying constructions of transport means is considered. An approach to the analysis of discrepancy risks is suggested and approved for the carrying construction elements under condition of the various type damage (fatigue, fretting fatigue, slackening of joints). The approach is characterized with using the principle of "equal customer satisfaction" instead of the equal strength principle and also with taking into account quality costs by operating the design procedures in compliance with requirements of the quality management system.