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Risk Assessment Method in Creating Space-Rocket Technology

Authors: Orlov A.I., Tsisarskiy A.D. Published: 12.04.2017
Published in issue: #2(113)/2017  

DOI: 10.18698/0236-3941-2017-2-99-107

 
Category: Mechanical Engineering and Machine Science | Chapter: Product Quality Management. Standardization. Organization of Production  
Keywords: risk, assessment, modeling, projects, space-rocket technology, probability, expert procedures

The article focuses on the additive-multiplicative model of project risk assessment. The model was developed by the authors. In the two-level scheme on the lower level the risk assessments are combined additively, whereas on the upper level they are combined multiplicatively. The additive-multiplicative model is used for the risk assessment of space-rocket technology projects. We specified 44 risks on the lower level and 8 risks on the upper level. The study gives some illustrative examples.

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