|

Asteroid Vulnerability of the Earth

Authors: Aleksandrov A.A., Kotlyarevskii V.A., Larionov V.I. , Sushchev S.P.  Published: 13.08.2013
Published in issue: #2(91)/2013  

DOI:

 
Category: Simulation of Processes  
Keywords: asteroid, impact energy, fireball, air shock wave, volume and depth of the impact crater, seismic waves, earthquake magnitude, vulnerability of the population

Dangers of asteroids and other space bodies falling to the surface of the Earth and possible consequences of their activity for buildings, constructions and life support systems in cities and towns due to intensive thermal effects, air shock and seismic waves that can also trigger earthquakes in seismically active regions are considered. The scenario of seismic hazard associated with the probability of asteroid falls to the Earth's surface is presented. The possible methods and software tools, which allow implementing systematic approach to prediction of the effects of space impacts, and the issues ofplanning measures of its reduction for the population are considered. The main "effects " of the Chelyabinsk bolide were analyzed. The need for development of methods for detection and monitoring of the objects approaching the Earth and for creation of means for the Earth protection from asteroid and comet danger is proved.

References

[1] Kotlyarevskiy V.A., Larionov V.I., Sushchev S.P. Explosive and shock impacts. Entsiklopediya bezopasnosti. Stroitel’stvo, promyshlennost’, ekologiya. Tom 1. [Encyclopedia of public safety. Construction, industry, the environment. Vol 1.]. Moscow, Nauka Publ., 2005. 687 p.

[2] Boslough Mark B.E. The Tunguska meteorite. The computer program of modeling of a new generation of Mark Boslough. Dep. of Comp. Phys. and Mech. Sandia Nat. Lab. Albuquerque, 2007. 120 p.

[3] Bazilevskiy A.T., Ivanov B.A. Review of the achievements of crater formation mechanics. Mekhanika obrazovaniya voronok pri udare i vzryve. Sb. statey "Mekhanika" [Mechanics of crater formation upon impact and explosion. Coll. Pap. "Mechanics"], Moscow, 1977, no. 12, pp. 172–227.

[4] Baker W.N., Cox P.S., Westine P.S., Kulesz J.J., Strehlow R.A. Explosion hazards and evaluation. Elsevier, 1983. 286 p. (Russ. ed.: Beyker N., Koks P., Uestayn P. i dr. Vzryvnye yavleniya. Otsenka i posledstviya. Moscow, Mir Publ., 1986. 319 p.).

[5] Deystvie yadernogo oruzhiya [The effects of nuclear weapons]. Moscow, Voenizdat Publ., 1963. 683 p.

[6] Gering D.J. High-speed blow from an engineering point of view. High-velocity impact phenomena. Ed. R. Kinslow. New York–London, Acad. Press, 1970. 536 p. (Russ. ed.: Gering D. Vysokoskorostnoy udar s inzhenernoy tochki zreniya. Vysokoskorostnye udarnye yavleniya. Moscow, Mir Publ., 1973, pp. 468–516.).

[7] Ivanov B.A. Achievements of crater formation mechanics. Udar. Vzryv. Razrushenie. Sb. statey "Mekhanika" [Blow. Explosion. Destruction. Coll. Pap. "Mechanics"]. Moscow, 1981, pp. 204–238.

[8] Lavrent’ev M.A., Titov V.M., Fadeenko Yu.I., et al. Study of collisions of rigid bodies in space velocity range. Fundamental’nye issledovaniya. Fizmat. i tekhn. nauki [Fundam. Res. Phys. Math. Tech. Sci.]. Novosibirsk, 1977, pp. 255–258.

[9] Marshall V.C. Major chemical hazards. Chichester, Ellis-Horwood, 1987. 587 p. (Russ. ed.: Marshall V. Osnovnye opasnosti khimicheskikh proizvodstv. Moscow, Mir Publ., 1989. 672 p.).

[10] Rusakov M.M., Shaydulin B.K. Relations between the parameters of a crater and a striker according to impact experiments at speeds up to 30 km/s. Kosmich. issled. [Cosmic Res.], 1979, vol. 17, pp. 172–175 (in Russ.).

[11] Brode H.L. Numerical solutions of spherical blast waves. App. Phys., 1955, no. 26, pp. 766–775.

[12] Pond R., Glas A. Metal-physical research and distribution of energy. High-velocity impact phenomena. Ed. R. Kinslow. New York–London, Acad. Press, 1970. 536 p. (Russ. ed.: Pond R., Glas A. Metallofizicheskie issedovaniya i raspredelenie energii. Vysokoskorostnye udarnye yavleniya. Moscow, Mir Publ., 1973, pp. 428–467.).

[13] Eichelberger R.J., Gehring J.W. J. Rocketry, 1962, no. 10, pp. 13–18.

[14] Herrmann W., Jones A.H. Correlation of hypervelocity impact data. Proc. 5th Simp. on Hipervelosity Impact. Denver, Colorado, Oct. 1961.

[15] Kotlyarevskiy V.A., Chistov A.G. Numerical analysis of diffraction of waves in viscoelastic media under plane strain. Izv. Akad. Nauk SSSR. Mekh. Tverdogo Tela [Proc. Acad. Sci. USSR. Mech. Solids]. 1976, no. 3, pp. 120–132 (in Russ.).

[16] Kotlyarevskiy V.A., Rumyantseva R.A., Chistov A.G. Calculations of stamp strikes on the ground using different models of elastoplastic media under plane strain. Izv. Akad. Nauk SSSR. Mekh. Tverdogo Tela [Proc. Acad. Sci. USSR. Mech. Solids]. 1977, no. 5, pp. 132–146 (in Russ.).

[17] Kotlyarevskiy V.A., Rumyantseva R.A., Shishikin A.I. Waves in the soft ground treated as a viscoelastic medium. Fiz. Goreniya i Vzryva [Combust. Explos. Shock Waves]. 1977, no. 2, pp. 229–238 (in Russ.).

[18] Sagomonyan A.Ya. Pronikanie [Penetration]. Moscow, Mosk. Gos. Univ. Publ., 1974. 236 p.

[19] Kotlyarevskiy V.A. Impact on a plate lying on the surface of a liquid. Izv. Akad. Nauk SSSR. Mekh. Zhidk. i Gaza [Proc. Acad. Sci. USSR. Fluid Dyn.], 1978, no. 3, pp. 143–145 (in Russ.).

[20] Riny T. Numerical modeling of phenomena in high-velocity impact. High-velocity impact phenomena. Ed. R. Kinslow. New York–London, Acad. Press, 1970. 536 p. (Russ. ed.: Rini T. Chislennoe modelirovanie yavleniy pri vysokoskorostnom udare. Vysokoskorostnye udarnye yavleniya. Moscow, Mir Publ., 1973, pp. 164–219.

[21] Balmer H.A. Mass. Inst. Tech. Rep. ASRL TR-128-3. Aug. 1965.

[22] Harlow F.H. Alamos Sci. Lab. Rep. LA-2301. 1959.

[23] Wilkins M.L., Giroux R. Lawrence Radiation Lab. Rep. UCRL-7322. Apr. 1963.

[24] Kotlyarevskiy V.A. Estimation of personal injuries in accidents. Avarii i katastrofy. Preduprezhdenie i likvidatsiya posledstviy. Kn. 5 [Accidents and disasters. Prevention and mitigation. Vol. 5]. Moscow, ASV Publ., 2001, pp. 283–306.

[25] Kotlyarevskiy V.A., Larionov V.I., Sushchev S.P., et al. Zemletryaseniya [Earthquakes]. Entsiklopediya bezopasnosti. Stroitel’stvo, promyshlennost’, ekologiya. Tom 3 [Encyclopedia of public safety. Construction, industry, environment. Vol. 3].Moscow, ASV Publ., 2010, pp. 2–24.

[26] Larionov V.I., Frolova N.I. Features of vulnerability assessment for seismic effects. Prirodnye opasnosti Rossii [Russia natural hazards]. Moscow, KRUK Publ., 2003, pp. 120–129.