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Прогнозирование числа отказов программного обеспечения космических аппаратов

ISSN 0236-3941. Вестник МГТУ им. Н.Э. Баумана. Сер. Машиностроение. 2016. № 5

37

Abstract

Keywords

Spacecraft software failures depend on software defects

and errors. This paper offers a part of a solution for a

software reliability problem by forecasting the failures.

Using the experimental data we calculated the optimal

quantity of software testing cycles. We used numerical

algorithm to make a forecast of software reliability. Our

forecast method is based on software failure formation

analysis. It predicts the average quantity of software fail-

ures taking into account that the defects are eliminated

after testing. The examples of typical cases provided in this

article show that applying our method results in effective

forecasting

Software, reliability, software fail-

ure, quantity of testing cycles

REFERENCES

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Zolotov A.A.

— Dr. Sci. (Eng.) Professor of Moscow Aviation Institute (National Research

University) (Volokolamskoe shosse 4, Moscow, 125993 Russian Federation).

Nurullaev E.D.

— post-graduate student of Moscow Aviation Institute (National Research

University) (Volokolamskoe shosse 4, Moscow, 125993 Russian Federation).

Please cite this article in English as:

Zolotov A.A., Nurullaev E.D. Forecasting the Number of Spacecraft Software Failures.

Vestn.

Mosk. Gos. Tekh. Univ. im. N.E. Baumana, Mashinostr.

[Herald of the Bauman Moscow State Tech.

Univ., Mech. Eng.], 2016, no. 5, pp. 24–37. DOI: 10.18698/0236-3941-2016-5-24-37